What orbital energies mean
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The SCF hands you a ladder of orbital energies ε. They are not slices of the total energy (summing them double-counts repulsion) — so what physical thing are they? Koopmans' theorem supplies the answer: yank an electron out of orbital i, freeze every other orbital in place, and the energy you pay is exactly −εᵢ. For the loosest electron:
According to Koopmans' theorem, the ionization potential of a molecule is approximately…
The frozen-orbital assumption is obviously false — the cation relaxes — and Hartree-Fock is missing correlation on top. Yet Koopmans IPs land within a volt or so of experiment surprisingly often, and the reason is an error cancellation: relaxation (ignored) would lower the ion, so freezing overestimates the IP; correlation (ignored) stabilizes the electron-rich neutral more, so neglecting it underestimates the IP. Two wrongs, opposite signs.
Koopmans' theorem makes two crude approximations, yet its ionization potentials are often surprisingly decent. Why?
This is also the cleanest example of a habit worth building: every quantity the calculation prints should be answerable to an experiment. Orbital energies answer to photoelectron spectroscopy — that is why the HOMO's ε matters and the absolute zero of the ladder doesn't.